中文摘要：

针对城镇居住建筑剩余使用寿命测算中考虑因素片面、弹性不足、脱离实际的问题,综合运用结构可靠度方法和招标租金理论,构建城镇民用建筑剩余使用寿命测算模型,发现城镇居住建筑剩余使用寿命是结构可靠度、功能满意度、城市规划水平和城市发展速度四个因素共同作用的结果;当结构可靠度有保证时,非技术因素成为城市民用建筑剩余寿命的决定因素;当结构可靠度和功能满意度有保证时,土地区位级别相对变化成为城市民用建筑剩余寿命的决定因素.研究结果在理论上揭示了城市快速发展期居住建筑剩余寿命与建筑结构之外因素紧密相关的的一般机理,在实践上为新型城镇化下提高民用建筑使用寿命提供了对策.

英文摘要：

To solve the problems of one-sided consideration, inelasticity and unreality in residual service life prediction of urban residential buildings, a model used for residual service life prediction is built by using first order reliability method, bid rent theory and statistical analysis. The result shows residual service life of urban residential buildings is a result that structure reliability, function satisfaction, city planning and development speed act together. When structure reliability is ensured, non-technology factors become determining factors; when structure reliability and function satisfaction are ensured, land location grade becomes the determining factor. The study reveals the close relationship between residual service life of urban residential buildings and factors besides building structure in the period of rapid urbanization of China, and provides solutions to extend the service life of residential buildings.