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Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set
  • ISSN号：2095-6037
  • 期刊名称：《气象学报：英文版》
  • 时间：0
  • 分类：P423[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P426.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构：Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology, College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • 相关基金：jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number2016YFA0602401];the External Cooperation Program of Bureau of International Co-operation(BIC);Chinese Academy of Sciences[grant number 134111KYSB20150016];the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41421004]
作者： CHEN Huo-Po, SUN Jian-Qi, LI Hui-Xin
关键词： 极端降水, 预估, CMIP5, NEX-GDDP
中文摘要：

最近,NASA发布了一套基于CMIP5 21个耦合模式输出的高分辨率降尺度逐日数据集,简称NEX-GDDP。本文评估了NEX-GDDP对中国极端降水的模拟性能。研究发现:(1)相比CMIP5直接输出结果,NEX-GDDP能够更好刻画中国极端降水的空间分布;(2)未来中国极端降水事件明显增多、强度增强,NEX-GDDP在区域尺度上给出了更多的气候变化信息;(3)NEXGDDP预估的中国未来极端降水变化的不确定性范围相比CMIP5直接输出结果明显减少,使得预估结果更加可靠.

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期刊信息
  • 《气象学报：英文版》
  • 主管单位:
  • 主办单位:中国气象学会
  • 主编：
  • 地址：北京市中关村南大街46号
  • 邮编：100081
  • 邮箱：cmsams@163.com
  • 电话：010-68407634
  • 国际标准刊号：ISSN：2095-6037
  • 国内统一刊号：ISSN：11-2277/P
  • 邮发代号:
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 荷兰地学数据库,荷兰文摘与引文数据库,美国剑桥科学文摘,美国科学引文索引（扩展库）
  • 被引量:280