城市化与经济发展水平之间协调发展是世界范围的客观规律和经济发展的内在要求,当前对我国城市化水平与经济发展水平关系的判断存在严重分歧。本文采用118个国家或地区的数据,基于象限图法,分析世界城市化格局的一般规律,发现世界城市化进程与单位GDP对城市化的带动效应均呈减速态势;进一步探索我国城市化与经济发展水平的动态演变过程,表明我国城市化水平和经济发展水平处于双低状态,类型上属于低级协调型,这种双低之间是基本协调的,并不存在城市化严重滞后经济发展水平,较低城市化水平的根源取决于较低的经济发展水平。
The coordinated development of urbanization and economic development is a worldwide experience;also is inherent requirements of economic development.China's urbanization has unique pattern and characteristic,which has attracted attention from a large number of multi-disciplinary scholars and relevant government departments at home and abroad.At present,there is a heated dispute on the correlation of China's urbanization level and economic development.This paper highlights the characteristics and pattern of urbanization in the world based on the quadrant map,using data of 118 countries or regions.The results indicate that both the process of urbanization and the effects of GDP on urbanization have shown a downward trend.Next,a further exploration examines China's urbanization process and economic development over time,which indicates that both of urbanization level and the level of economic development belongs to the type of low-level coordination pattern.They are coordinated between the low level of urbanization and economic development,and urbanization is not seriously lagged behind the economic development.The low level of urbanization is closely related with the low level of economic development.Furthermore,a dynamic analysis was done on China's urbanization pattern in the world.Actually,China's urbanization lag appeared in 1985-1995,but it has been narrowed since 1995 as a result of rapid urbanization growth.The complicated realities revealed in this analysis challenge the existing two prevalent views:(1)the urbanization process continues to speed up in the world;(2)China is at very low urbanization level relative to its level of economic development.