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时间分解效应及其对跨期决策的影响
  • ISSN号:0439-755X
  • 期刊名称:《心理学报》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:B849[哲学宗教—应用心理学;哲学宗教—心理学] C91[经济管理;社会学]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国科学院心理研究所行为科学重点实验室,北京100101, [2]中国科学院大学人文学院,北京100049
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金委(71001098); 中科院重点项目(KJZD-EW-L04)支持
中文摘要:

本文基于经典的分解效应,提出并证实了一种影响人们判断与决策中时间知觉的新因素——时间分解效应。共包括两个研究,分别在"时间够用"判断与跨期决策中检验了该效应的存在性与稳固性。实验结果表明:(1)相比未分解条件,分解条件下的被试判断给定时间内完成某项任务的时间更够用,即时间知觉更长。该效应受到任务难度的调节,在较简单的任务中时间分解效应更显著;(2)在跨期决策中,分解操纵增大了人们对较大较远的收益(larger&later,LL)选项中时间延迟的知觉,证实了时间分解效应。此外,还发现时间分解效应会导致人们在跨期决策中更偏好较小较近的收益(smaller&sooner,SS)选项,对时间延迟的知觉中介了这一过程。总之,本研究不仅在理论上提出了一种新的分解效应,同时对现实生活中的决策(如计划制定等)有重要的应用价值。

英文摘要:

Time perception/judgment is relevant to everyone and is an integral part of decision making, because any meaningful choices are embedded in a temporal context. The unpacking effect(Tversky Koehler, 1994) in probability judgment refers to a phenomenon where "unpacking" an event could increase the subjectiveprobability judgment of the event. Given the similarity of time and probability in intertemporal and risky decision making and based on the results of plan fallacy research, we conject that the unpacking effect may also be detected in time perception/judgment. Unlike previous research that focused on the unpacking manipulation of some events, we only used pure manipulation on a time interval. We named this phenomenon the time unpacking effect, where a time interval is presented in an unpacked rather than compact way, thus lengthening subjective time perception. In this research, two studies explored the time unpacking effect in judgment and intertemporal decision making, and the impact the effect has on intertemporal decision making.Study 1 tested this effect in temporal judgment of whether a given time is sufficient to complete a task.Hypothesis 1a states that people in the unpacking condition compared with those in the packed condition will have higher scores, meaning they will perceive the time period as longer. Based on previous research, we formulated hypothesis 1b stating that task difficulty will affect the time unpacking effect. The experiment used a between-subjects design, where 124 participants were randomly assigned to a packed or unpacked condition and were presented with two scenarios within which tasks of varying difficulty were presented and asked to finish the corresponding computerized questionnaires. As a control factor we measured the participants' degree of busyness during the specified time periods. A mixed design MANOVA revealed that the interaction of condition-by-difficulty degree was significant, F(1, 120) = 5.14, p〈0.05. Furthermore, in the second scenario,which had a l

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期刊信息
  • 《心理学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国心理学会 中国科学院心理研究所
  • 主编:张侃
  • 地址:北京市朝阳区林萃路16号院
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:xuebao@psych.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64850861
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:0439-755X
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1911/B
  • 邮发代号:82-12
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:33136