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乌鲁木齐市近47年气温降水特征与突变分析
  • ISSN号:1003-7578
  • 期刊名称:干旱区资源与环境
  • 时间:0
  • 页码:111-115
  • 语言:中文
  • 分类:P468[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,兰州730070, [2]中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,兰州730000
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(40701035,40631001,40571033);霍英东教育基金(101019);西北师范大学知识与科技创新工程科研骨干培育项目(NWNU-KJCXGC-03-45)和”西北师范大学自然地理学省级重点学科”资助.
  • 相关项目:天山东部典型地区雪冰中含氮化合物记录过程及其环境意义研究
中文摘要:

利用乌鲁木齐市的气温和降水资料,运用气候趋势系数、一元回归分析法和5年趋势滑动,进行了气候变化的趋势分析。结果表明:乌鲁木齐市气温和降水的变化趋势基本与西北地区气候变化趋势一致;春季和夏季气温呈下降趋势,秋冬季呈上升趋势,冬季增温幅度最大;四季降水量呈增加趋势,冬季降水量增加趋势最明显。在此基础上,利用滑动T检验法、YAMAMOTO检验信噪比(SNR)、Cramer法和Mann—Kendall法进行气候突变分析,结果表明:气温突变比降水突变明显,气温在1962年发生突变。

英文摘要:

In this paper, the recent 47a of ground -based observations, the change trend of annual air temperature and precipitation, methods of regression analysis and moving average were used to study the climatic changing trend of the study area under the background of global warming. Results showed that the change trend of annual air temperature in Urumqi was accorded with that in northwestern China since the 1990s except the negative correlation between the annual temperature in Urumqi and that in northwestern China in the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, and the temperature increased continuously. In spring and summer, changing trends of temperature was downward, in autumn and winter, changing trends of temperature was upward, and the winter's was the biggest. Four seasons' precipitation changing trends were upward, especially the winter was obvious. Methods of T checking,YAMAMOTO(SNR) ,Cramer and Mann- Kendal were employed to analyze the climatic break indicating that the abrupt change of temperature was more noticeable than that of precipitation in the study areak. The abrupt change of temperature may occur in 1962.

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期刊信息
  • 《干旱区资源与环境》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:内蒙古农业大学
  • 主办单位:中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学 内蒙古自然资源协会
  • 主编:胡春元
  • 地址:呼和浩特市内蒙古农业大学(东区)247信箱
  • 邮编:010019
  • 邮箱:ghzh@chinajournal.net.cn ghqzyyhj@163.com
  • 电话:0471-4313634 4301058
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1003-7578
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:15-1112/N
  • 邮发代号:16-64
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 英国农业与生物科学研究中心文摘,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:30942