中文摘要：

提出一种基于模糊穴的轨道交通安全评估方法FCRS（Fuzzy-Cell based Rail traffic Safety analysis）。该方法从轨道交通安全相关要素的辨识，内外部属性的动态演化过程，分析轨道交通安全状态的动态演变机理。利用神经网络实现了模糊穴模型。实验及应用表明该方法在改善主动安全预警水平中取得了较好的效果。

英文摘要：

An Fuzzy-Cell based Rail Traffic Safety analysis is proposed. This method explores Rail Transport associated factors, and dynamic evolution process of intrinsic and extrinsic attributes, to analyse dynamic evolution mechanaics of Rail Transport safety status. Neural network is utilized to implement Fuzzy-Cell model. Experiments and field application show that it works well to improve active safety prealarm level.