在扩展型贸易引力模型的基础上,利用浙江省出口贸易总额较大的L4个国家(地区)2003-2010年间的面板数据,使用Eviews5.0进行了贸易引力模型的多元线性回归分析。,分析结果表明,浙江省对欧洲、美国、新加坡与中国香港等市场“出口饱和”,在原有的出口结构基础上没有太大的提升空间。而对中国台湾省、日本、韩国、俄罗斯、澳大利亚等国家则“出口不足”,尚存在较大的开发潜力。
Based on the expansible trade gravity model, this article uses the panel data to analyze the multiple linear regressions of the top 14 countries or regions which have the big trading amount with Zhejiang Province from 2003 till 2010 by Eviews 5.0. By the analysis conclusion, we find that there is not much room to improve Zhejiang Province's "export ca- pacity" to European countries, the United States, Singapore and Hong Kong. As for Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Russia, Australia and other "export less" countries or regions, there is still large export potential.