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西辽河流域近60年来气候变化趋势分析
  • 期刊名称:干旱区资源与环境, 2009, 23(9):62-66. (国内核心刊物)
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101, [2]襄樊学院,襄樊441053, [3]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金(40771204);自然基金,编号为(40801223)资助.
  • 相关项目:干旱气候条件下南方红壤丘陵地区水土资源平衡效应研究
中文摘要:

采用Mann—Kendall法,以实测站点数据为基础,选取降水和气温两个主要气象要素指标,对西辽河流域1951~2006年来的气候变化趋势进行了分析。研究结果表明:1)近60年来,西辽河流域降水量总体呈减少趋势,但趋势不明显。变化序列可以划分为三个阶段:1951~1984年平均降水量呈减少趋势;1985~1995呈增加趋势;1996-今年降水呈减少趋势;三个阶段趋势都不显著。近60年来春季降水变化大,夏、秋、冬三季降水量呈减少趋势,冬季减少明显。2)西辽河流域气温在20世纪90年代以前变化不明显,上世纪90年代至今气温显著增高,目前仍在上升阶段,近60年来全年各月气温都呈显著增加趋势。

英文摘要:

Using the Mann - Kendall method, based on actual metrical data, temperature and precipitation were selected as the two main meteorological indicators to carry on the analysis on the climate change trend of Xiliao River basin from1951 to 2006. The studies indicated that: 1)In the recent 60 years, the precipitation of Xiliao River basin overall was declined, but not remarkable, the change sequence could be divided into three phases: the annual average precipitation was reduced from 1951 to 1984. from 1985 to 1995 the annual average precipitation was increases; the precipitation was declined from 1996; the trend of three phases were all unremarkable. The precipitation was declined in summer,autumn and winter, and was obvious in winter; 2) Temperature change was not obvious before 1990, but obviously increased from 1990 to now, at present it is still in the ascent stage. Near for 60 years, each month's temperature were all increased remarkably.

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