根据《中国居民膳食指南》、全面小康食物与营养消费目标,以及湖南省自1949年以来人口的动态变化,对湖南省人均粮食需求量、人口总数和粮食需求量进行了预测。结果表明,2015年人均粮食需求量在395~405 kg之间,2025年人均粮食需求量在435~445 kg之间。预测2015年湖南省总人口为7 150万,2025年为7 350万。2015年湖南省共需粮食3 267万t,2025年共需粮食3 684万t。
According to the Meal Guide for Chinese Resident,the aim of comprehensive well-off food and nutrition consumption,and the dynamic change of population in Hunan Province since 1949,the grain demand per capita,the total population and the grain demand in Hunan Province were forecast in this paper.The results showed that the grain demand per capita will reach 395~405 kg in 2015 and 435~445 kg in 2025;the total population in Hunan will reach 7 150×104 in 2015 and 7 350×104 in 2025;the total grain demand in Hunan will need 3 267×104 ton in 2015 and 3 684× 104 ton in 2025.