经济增长是城市化的根本动力,同时城市化能够成为经济发展的载体,因此研究城市化与经济增长的关系显得尤为重要.依据1985-2011年的时间序列数据,利用因子分析、协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验等方法,采用城市化的综合指标,对安徽省城市化水平与经济增长的关系进行回归分析.结果发现,安徽省城市化与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,经济增长是城市化水平提高的格兰杰原因,城市化水平不是经济增长的格兰杰原因,说明经济增长对城市化的正向作用明显强于城市化对经济增长的反向影响.
Economic growth is the fundamental of the carrier of economic development, therefore, driving force of urbanization, and urbanization can become it is particularly important to study the relationship be- tween urbanization and economic growth. Based on time series data of the years 1985--2011, using factor a- nalysis, co-integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test and comprehensive indicators of ur- banization, the regression analysis of the relationship between the level of urbanization and economic growth in Anhui province is made. It is found that there is long-run equilibrium relationship between Anhui Province urbanization and economic growth, economic growth is the Granger cause of the increased level of urbaniza- tion, but the level of urbanization is not the Granger cause of economic growth, which shows the positive act of economic growth to urbanization is stronger than the reverse effect of urbanization to economic growth.