中文摘要：

文章利用来自2012年新疆十三个地州市的农民调查数据．采用Logistic回归技术．分析农民养儿防老观念及其影响因素。研究发现，持有养儿防老观念的农民占大多数：农民个体层面的性别、婚姻状况对养儿防老观念无显著影响，民族、健康状况、文化程度对养儿防老观念有显著影响：家庭层面的家庭关系和家庭规模对养儿防老观念无显著影响，家庭收入和有无儿子时养儿防老观念有显著影响：社区层面的农户类型、社区身份对养儿防老观念无显著影响，职业类型对养儿防老观念有显著影响；地区层面的新型农保对养儿防老观念无显著影响．村经济情况、交通状况、新农保缴费标准对养儿防老观念有显著影响。

英文摘要：

The paper studied the influencing factors of peasants＇ idea of ＂raising a son to provide against old age＂ by using the technique of Logistic regression step by step and the thousand families survey data coming from thirten towns in XinJiang in 2012. Experimental results reveal that many peasants quite approve of it;Gender and marital status are not related to it,while nation,state of health and education have significant effect on it on individual level variable. Variables of family relationship and family size are not related to it,while whether having a son and family income have significant effect on it on family level variable. Farmer type and community status are not related to it,while types of occupation has significant effect on it on com- munity level variable. Financial situation,traffic condition of the village and new rural social security is not related to it ,while financial situation of the village and level of contribution of new rural security system have significant effect on it on the region level variable.