历史现象显示,创意产业发展与几次经济危机的出现存在一定的联系。为了从实证角度验证两者的相关性,采集了美国、日本两次经济危机时期的创意产值与经济增长数据,对其进行了格兰杰因果检验和产业贡献率等实证分析。检验结果表明,短期内经济危机对创意产业的发展具有显著影响,而创意产业力量还不足以影响经济增长;但是,创意产业在经济危机后面临着新的发展契机,长期来看可能成为经济增长的新动力。
The economic history shows that there might be relationship between the development of creative industries and the economic crisis.In order to verify it from the view of empirical research,this study does the Grander causality test and industrial contribution rate research using the data of creative industries output and GDP in the period of the economic crisis in U.S and Japan.Evidences show that the economic crisis influences the development of creative industries greatly in a short time.The power of creative industries is too little to influence the economic growth.However,the creative industries confront a new chance of further development after economic crisis.In addition,it may become to be a new impetus of economy in a long time.