中文摘要：

基于技术进步和制度创新视角,运用投入产出法和PLS结构方程模型,分别对我国的碳锁定状况和碳解锁路径进行了研究。研究发现：1995~2009年,我国的碳锁定形势总体上得到了较大改善;技术进步、制度创新可以直接产生一定程度的碳解锁效应,同时技术进步和制度创新还能够通过优化能源消耗和产业结构来进一步实现碳解锁;制度创新还可以对我国的技术进步产生积极的促进作用。

英文摘要：

This paper applied input-output analysis method and PLS-SEM analysis method to make a study of Chinese carbon lock-in and its carbon unlocking path with technological progress and institutional innovation perspectives. The results indicated that Chinese carbon lock-in situation had achieved a great improvement from 1995 to 2009. Technological progress and institutional innovation mainly relied on optimizing Chinese energy consumption and its industrial structure to generate a greater carbon unlocking effect indirectly. Institutional innovation also does a positive role in promoting Chinese technology.