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金融发展与经济增长关系:方向与结构差异——源自全球银行与股市的元分析证据
  • ISSN号:1001-4691
  • 期刊名称:《南开经济研究》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F740[经济管理—国际贸易;经济管理—产业经济]
  • 作者机构:南京财经大学会计学院,210023
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目“融资约束影响产业绩效:并购规模和并购方向作用”(71272239); 国家社会科学基金项目“基于融资视角的企业社会责任价值创造机理研究”(13BGL057); 江苏高校哲学社会科学研究基金指导项目“治理水平、信息质量与债务融资成本”(2014SJD131)的阶段性成果; 江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目; 江苏高校品牌专业建设工程资助项目; 江苏省高校“青蓝工程”中青年学术带头人资助项目的支持
作者: 于成永
中文摘要:

现有金融发展与经济增长关系研究文献虽然丰富,但是观点针锋相对,证据混合。本文运用元分析技术,基于45篇英文文献中623个有关金融发展与经济增长关系的方程,经实证检验发现:一是在不区分银行和股票市场发展测量指标的情况下,整合证据支持金融发展促进经济增长的观点;与银行发展不同,股票市场发展影响经济增长不具统计显著性。进一步分析,相比于股票市场规模影响不显著,股票市场流动性能够促进经济增长。二是在经济增长中,银行发展大于股票市场发展的作用,尤其是股票市场相对规模和换手率的作用显著低于金融深化指标揭示的金融资产集聚活动。三是在银行发展促进经济增长关系上,金融资源配置活动的影响作用低于金融资产集聚活动;其中,货币储备银行相对于央行重要性(银行比率)和增加向私人企业贷款的作用显著低于金融资产集聚活动。此外,本文还发现:随着时间递延,金融发展-经济增长效应存在下降规律;在地区上,拉丁美洲、加勒比地区有相对高的金融发展-经济增长效应,中东与北非地区有显著较低的金融发展-经济增长效应;样本文献是否控制政治稳定性、贸易、投资、初始收入、人力资本等方面变量能显著影响金融发展-经济增长效应。本文结论能够为金融体制改革、股票市场发展以及银行治理和创新提供有益的政策启示。

英文摘要:

There are different views and mixed evidence in existing literature about relationship between financial development and economic growth. Using meta-analysis technology based on 45 articles in English literature abroad 623 equations,this article found:First,integration of evidence support the theory that financial development promotes economic growth while not distinguishing measures between banks and the stock market development;Unlike bank development,the stock market development has no statistical significance effect on economic growth. Further analysis,compared to the stock market scale,the stock market liquidity can promote economic growth. Second,in the economic growth,the role of banks is greater than the stock market development;Especially the relative size of stock market and the turnover rate is significantly lower than the effect of financial deepening indicators which reveal the financial assets of agglomeration. Third,the influence of financial resource allocation activities below financial asset gathering activities in the bank's development promote economic growth;Among them,the role that the currency reserve bank importance relative to the central bank(bank rate)and the role of loans to private enterprises are significantly lower than that of financial assets gathered. In addition,this paper also found that over time deferred,the effect of financial development to economic growth slowed down;In the region,Latin America and the Caribbean have relatively high effect of financial development to economic growth,the Middle East and north Africa region have significantly lower financial development- economic growth effect;Whether sample control political stability,trade,investment,the initial income,human capital variables significantly affects the effect of financial development to economic growth. In this paper,the conclusion provides beneficial policy implications for the financial system reform,the development of stock market and bank governance and innovation.

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期刊信息
  • 《南开经济研究》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:国家教育部
  • 主办单位:南开大学经济学院
  • 主编:李坤望
  • 地址:天津市南开大学经济学院大楼1013室
  • 邮编:300071
  • 邮箱:nkes-editor@nankai.edu.cn
  • 电话:022-23508250
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1001-4691
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:12-1028/F
  • 邮发代号:6-88
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国社科基金资助期刊,中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:15121