通过构造固定资产投资转移指数(FAI),采用江西省和全国1989年-2012年间各行业固定资产投资的数据,估算江西省承接国内产业转移的规模;利用单方程模型计量分析江西省经济增长、承接国内外产业转移与环境污染之间的关系,结果表明:江西省经济增长加剧了本地区空气和水环境质量的同步恶化,工业固体废物排放的环境库茨涅兹曲线呈"倒U型",其拐点发生在2010年;江西省承接国内外产业转移加剧了工业废气和工业废水的排放,但对工业固体废物排放的影响不显著;工业规模的扩张加剧了环境污染;工业治污投入的严重不足是导致江西省环境质量未能得到明显改善的重要因素。基于以上分析,提出优化承接产业转移,加大污染治理投入力度,加快工业结构升级以及改造工业园区的对策建议。
By structuring the index of fixed assets investment(FAI) , and using the data of fixed assets investment in Jiangxi Province and national wide from 1989 to 2012, we calculate the industry transfer seale from other domestic areas to Jiangxi Province. By formu- lating a single equation model we study the relationship among economic growth, undertaking domestic and international industrial transfer and environmental pollution in liangxi Provinee. It shows that economic growth not only contributes to air pollution, but also leads to the deterioration of water environment, while the environmental Kuznets curve of industrial solid waste emissions is inverted "U" shaped curve, and the turning point occurs in 2010. Transfer of industry in Jiangxi Province increases industrial waste gas and waste water discharge, while it has no significant influence on the industrial solid waste emissions. Industrial expansion has increased environmental pollution. However the serious shortage in antipollution investment is a significant factor contributing to the fact that the environmental situation has not been improved significantly. In order to reduce the environment pollution, it is necessary to optimize undertaking industrial transfer, increase pollution disposal investment, speed up the industrial structure upgrade and reform the industrial park by the circular economy theory.