运用演化博弈理论,构建了我国商业银行群体和第三方支付群体动态的演化博弈模型,并分 析不同情形下的演化稳定策略及影响均衡结果的因素.研究表明,系统演化的均衡结果将受到双方初始 市场势力、合作产生的额外总收益、为合作所付出的初始成本、利益分配机制、相对收益与相对成本的比 值以及贴现因子等因素的影响.通过采取适当措施改变以上影响因素的取值可以改变系统演化的均衡 结果,从而为引导双方的竞合关系向着更加健康稳定的方向发展提供政策建议和理论指导.
Using evolutionary game theory,the paper constructs a dynamic evolutionary game model of China's commercial bank payment group and the third-party payment group and arrives at the evolutionary stable strategy under different conditions,as well as factors affecting the equilibrium outcome with an analysis to the model. The result shows that the equilibrium of the system will be influenced by the initial market power of both parties, total revenue generated with cooperation,the initial cost of cooperation,benefit distribution mechanism , the ratio of relative cost and discount factors, etc. By taking appropriate measures to change the value of the above factors can alter the equilibrium outcome of evolutionary system, so as to provide policy advice and theoretical guidance to guide the coopetition between the two parties toward a more healthy and stable development.