基于2015年对天津市农民的调查数据,运用二元Logistic回归模型,在性别差异的视角下,分析了农民农地转出意愿的影响因素。研究发现:对男性和女性农地转出意愿均有显著影响的主要是年龄、家庭农业收入比重、家庭劳动人口数量、非农就业年工资水平、对农地的态度、对政府土地流转服务评价、对农民工子女入学政策的评价。只对男性农地转出意愿有显著影响的是农地经营成本、农地经营收益、是否签订劳动合同、外出找工作途径、农地转出程序评价、对开展就业技能培训的评价、是否参与新农保、对新农保保障能力评价。只对女性农地转出意愿有显著影响的是文化程度、婚姻状况、对非农就业工作生活环境的感知、所在地区。基于上述结论,提出了相关对策建议。
On the basis of 2015 survey data on Tianjin farmers, using Binary Logistic regression model, in the perspective of gender differences, this paper analyzed determinants of farmers' will of farmland transfer. The results indicate that: age, the proportion of farming income, number of family labor force, non-farm payrolls in wages, the attitude towards farmland, evaluation on government' s land transfer service and migrant pupils' education significantly affect male and female farmers' will. Agricultural land management costs and income, whether to sign labor contract, approaches of going out to work, evaluation on farmland transfer program, skills training, new agricultural insurance level, whether to participate in new agricultural insurance only significantly affect male farmers' will. Education level, marital status, feeling of employment environment, and region, remarkably affect female farmers' will. Based on the above conclusions, this paper finally put forward relevant suggestions.