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决策树在天津市某区公务员健康状况影响因素分析中的应用
  • ISSN号:1004-6194
  • 期刊名称:《中国慢性病预防与控制》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:R181.3[医药卫生—流行病学;医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]
  • 作者机构:[1]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072, [2]天津医科大学天津市基础医学研究中心分子及群体遗传学实验室, [3]天津医科大学公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室
  • 相关基金:全国统计科学研究计划项目(2009LY048);天津市应用基础及前沿技术研究计划重点项目(08JCZDJC21400)
中文摘要:

目的了解天津市某区公务员健康状况的影响因素,为提高该人群的健康水平提供依据。方法于2008年9—12月,采用整群抽样的方法抽取天津市某区部分公务员,发放问卷740份,进行健康状况和相关影响因素的问卷调查。利用705份有效问卷,应用SAS8.2EnterpriseMiner模块建立决策树模型,对该区公务员人群的健康状况影响因素进行分析和预测。结果该区公务员总体患病率为47.0%,患病率较高的前4种疾病为高血压(17.87%),高血脂(17.73%),脂肪肝(15.89%),颈、腰椎疾病(12.77%)。决策树筛检出的健康状况影响危险因素(重要性)包括年龄大(1.0000)、吸烟(0.8359)、不按时吃饭(0.7972)、心理健康分值低(0.5860)、体质指数高(0.4748)、被动吸烟(0.3673)、教育系统公务员(0.2876)、文化程度高(O.2832)、饮酒(0.1365);保护性因素(重要性)包括充足的睡眠时间(0.3873)、充足的体育锻炼时间(0.2845)、女性(0.2636)、亚健康分值低(O.2364)。决策树模型ROC曲线下面积为O.8881(95%CI:0.8643~0.9119),预测的准确度为80%。结论公务员人群健康状况不容乐观,各种慢性病患病率较高,是今后开展健康管理的重点群体。

英文摘要:

Objective To comprehend the health status and its influential factors of health status among government employee in a district of Tianjin. Methods The objects were obtained from a district by cluster sampling method during September to December, 2008. 705 valid questionnaires from 740 subjects were collected and used to established decision tree model by SAS8.2 Enterprise Miner. Their health status and the influential factors were analyzed and predicted. Results The total prevalence rate was 47.0%, and the top four diseases among them were hypertension( 17.87% ), high blood lipid ( 17.73% ), fatty liver ( 15.89% ), neck and lumbar disease ( 12.77% ). The main risk factors for health status by the decision tree analysis were as follows: age(1.000 0), smoking(0.835 9), the situation of regular meals(0.797 2), mental health scores(0.586 0), BMI(0.474 8 ), passive smoking (0.367 3 ), occupation (0.287 6), education (0.283 2), and alcohol drinking (0.136 5 ) ; protective factors and importance were sleep time (0.387 3 ), sport time (0.284 5), gender(0.263 6), sub-health scores (0.236 4). The forecast accuracy of decision tree was 80%, the area under the ROC curve was 0.8881 (95% Ch 0.864 3-0.911 9). Conclusion The health conditions of government employee were far from ideal for some chronic diseases. The health management should be emphasized in those personals in the future.

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期刊信息
  • 《中国慢性病预防与控制》
  • 北大核心期刊(2008版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国卫生部
  • 主办单位:中华预防医学会 天津市卫生防病中心
  • 主编:王撷秀
  • 地址:天津市河东区华龙道76号
  • 邮编:300011
  • 邮箱:mbzz1992@126.com
  • 电话:022-24333572 24333578
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1004-6194
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:12-1196/R
  • 邮发代号:6-71
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),英国农业与生物科学研究中心文摘,波兰哥白尼索引,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版)
  • 被引量:21413