中文摘要：

基于EKC理论，采取1953--2010年中国人均碳排放和人均GDP数据，研究中国人均碳排放和人均GDP之间的关系。结果表明：存在N型的EKC曲线，EKC曲线微弱且不存在拐点，随着人均GDP的增加，人均碳排放持续增加。Granger因果关系表明：人均GDP增加是人均碳排放增加的原因。LMDI因素分解法表明：无论从贡献值还是从贡献率来看，人均GDP增加都是人均碳排放增加的主要驱动因素，而单位GDP能耗降低是抑制人均碳排放增加的主要因素。

英文摘要：

In accordance with the time series data ranging from 1953 to 2010 that covers China＇s per capital car- bon emissions and per capital GDP, an empirical research is made to explore their relations through EKC theory The result shows that there exist the ＇N＇ shaped EKC curve between per capital carbon emissions and per capi- tal GDP in China, EKC curve is weak and there is no turning point. With the increasing of per capita GDP, per capita carbon emissions continue to increase. Granger causality shows that： the increase of per capita GDP is the cause of per capita carbon emissions. LMDI shows that： the increase of per capita GDP is the main driving fac- tor of per capita carbon emissions, and the decrease of per capita energy consumption is the main inhibitors of per capita carbon emissions from contribution value as well as contribution rate