现代物流业是现代服务业的重要组成部分,许多国家和地区将其视为支柱产业:但是按现有国民经济部类的划分却很难计算物流业贡献。为此,本文尝试在国民经济中独立出物流业,并作为国民经济的第四部类,统计出四大部门的投入产出表,计算出各部门的直接消耗系数、列昂惕夫逆矩阵、直接前向关联指数和直接后向关联指数、影响力和感应度系数、生产诱发系数;初步建立基于四部类的现代物流产业发展的产业关联和波及效果分析框架。最后,应用上述分析框架,对河南省2007年144个部门投入产出表重新整合;多层面、多角度分析物流业与其他产业的关联关系;提出加快现代物流业发展的对策建议。
As a pillar industry, modern logistics industry is an important component of modern service industries. But it is difficult to quantify the contribution of the logistics industry according to current division of the national economy. Therefore, this paper tries to takes logistics industry as the fourth category of the national economy. Then we calculate each hector's direct consumption coefficient table, Leontief inverse matrix, direct forward correlation exponent and direct backward correlation exponent, impact eoeffieient, response coefficient and production induction coefficient. After that, we establish the initial analytical framework of the industrial association and spreading effects resulting from modern logistics industry. Finally, we integrate the input-output tables of 144 hectors in 2007 of Henan Province, analyze the correlation between the logistics industry and other industries from the perspective of multi-aspects, and make some suggestions about how to speed up the development of modern logistics industry.