基于497份辽宁省农民工抽样调查数据,采用mlogit模型分析农民工在城市的居住环境与其年老后的定居方式选择之间的关系。结果表明:农民工在城市的居住环境越好,越倾向于年老后在城市定居;随着农民工在城市的住房质量和人均居住面积的提高,年老后定居城市的概率上升;邻居类型对农民工年老后的定居方式没有显著影响;在县城务工的农民工比在省城务工的农民工更可能在年老后定居城市;与女性农民工相比,男性更偏向于年老后回农村居住;受教育程度越高的农民工,年老后定居城市的可能性越高。
Based on 497 sampling survey data of migrant workers in Shenyang and other county towns of Liaoning province, this paper makes a regression analysis by adopting multinomial Logistic models, which studies the relationship between the dwelling environment of migrant workers in city and the selection of settlement patterns when they are old. The results show that the better migrant workers' dwelling in cities, the more likely will they tend to live in cities when they are old. Specifically, with the improvement of their dwelling quality and per capita dwelling space, the probability of living in cities for migrant workers will ascend, while the neighbor types have no significant influence on their future settlement patterns. In addition, migrant workers who work in county towns are more likely to live in cities when they are old than those work in provincial capital city. Compared with the female migrant workers, the male ones relatively prefer to live in rural area, which is contrary to the ones who have high education level.