中文摘要：

目前国务院要求地方政府对债务实行相应的规模控制和限额管理,因此寻找一种有效的债务限额分配方案已是当务之急。文章首先利用零和收益DEA模型（ZSG-DEA）对各省级地方政府债务的效率进行了测评,结果表明：2013年仅有11个省区达到DEA有效,说明我国大部分省区的政府债务使用效率偏低,需要对地方政府债务限额进行再分配。然后,在分配总量既定的条件下,基于效率最优原则对地方政府债务限额进行了再分配,得出了达到统一DEA有效边界的分配方案。最后,在前述分配方案与投入产出变量预测的基础上,进一步研究得到了2017年、2018年各省级地方政府的债务限额分配额。

英文摘要：

At present, the State Council requires the local governments to implement the corresponding scale control and quota manage-ment of the debt, thus it is urgent to find an effective allocation plan of debt quotas. Firstly, this paper applies the ZSG-DEA model to eval-uate the efficiency of local government debt in all provinces. The results show that only 11 provinces could reach the DEA frontier in2013, which means that the efficiency of local government debt is low in most provinces, and local government debt quotas need to be real-located. Then, based on the principle of optimal efficiency and the total amount fixed, the paper reallocates the local government debt, andgains an allocation scheme which reaches the uniform DEA frontier. Finally, on the basis of the previous allocation scheme and the predic-tion of input and output variables, the paper obtains the debt quotas of all provincial governments in 2017 and 2018 by the further study.