借助于DSR模型,从城市发展的驱动力和发展状态两个维度,选取碳交易市场建立时考虑的8个指标,以中国30个省市自治区2005—2009年统计数据为样本,基于系统聚类分析,对中国碳交易市场进行了初步研究,结果表明:中国应首先构建跨省区域性碳交易市场;碳交易市场的构建应分层逐步推进,建立代表性省份对应的碳交易先行区;火力发电应作为中国碳交易的先行行业。
This paper recurs to DSR model, chooses eight key indexes about carbon trading market from the perspective of driving force and state of urban development, uses 30 provinces'data of 2005 - 2009, carries out preliminary hierarchical cluster analysis on carbon emission trading market of China. The result shows that China should first construct trans - pro- vincial regional carbon trading market. Construction of carbon market should also be promoted gradually, and establish rep- resentative provinces of the corresponding carbon trading forerunner areas. Coal - fired power industry should be the forthgo- er in China's carbon emission trading market.