中文摘要：

随着水工结构的发展和水资源开发利用,大坝安全运行问题日益突出。大坝变形观测资料能综合反映工程安全状态。开展安全监控与预测预报方面的建模理论和方法研究可为馈控结构安全状态以及制定新的设计、施工和运行规范提供科技支撑。据此,回眸了大坝变形监控模型方面的国内外研究进展,总结了常规监控模型和新型监控模型的特点,提出了相应的研究建议。

英文摘要：

With the development of the hydraulic structure engineering and the exploitation of water resources,safety operation of the dam has become increasingly important.Since dam deformation observation data can reflect the safety status of engineering comprehensively,researches on modeling theories and methods of safety monitoring and forecasting can provide technology supports for safety state of feedback control structure and the formulation of new design,construction and operation specifications.For this,present research situations and the development of domestic and foreign on dam deformation monitoring model were reviewed and the characteristics of regular and new monitoring model were summarized,then corresponding research proposals were given accordingly.