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青藏高原冬季积雪关键区视热源特征与中国西南春旱的联系
  • ISSN号:1000-0534
  • 期刊名称:《高原气象》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P426.635[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]上海市奉贤区气象局,上海201416, [2]中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京100081, [3]上海海洋气象台,上海201300
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130960);中日政府间合作JICA计划科技部国际合作项目(2009DFB20540);科技部公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201006009);中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金重点项目(20112001)共同资助
中文摘要:

利用1955-2010年地面气象站积雪深度、降水资料和NCEP再分析资料,采用统计相关,异常指数与相关矢等计算方法,对2010年西南春旱区域性特征、青藏高原积雪视热源特征进行了综合分析,研究了西南春旱典型区域,获得了影响西南地区春季降水的青藏高原积雪视热源关键区。对高原积雪关键区积雪深度与该区域大气视热源的相关性进行了综合分析,发现青藏高原积雪关键区2月的视热源代表性最好。重点分析了青藏高原积雪关键区2月大气视热源与后期西南严重春旱区降水的异常指数年际变化及其相关关系,结果表明,冬季青藏高原积雪关键区积雪浅、整层大气视热源偏高,有利于西南地区春季出现干燥的偏北气流,导致我国西南地区春雨异常偏少。青藏高原积雪关键区视热源对我国西南春旱预测具有明显的指示意义。

英文摘要:

Using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, observational snow depth and precipitation data in China, adopting the statistical correlation model, including anomaly index and the correlation vector calcu- lation method, the regional characteristics of spring drought in Southwest China and the ' strong signal' of snow cover and heat source in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau were analyzed. The typical region of spring drought in Southwest China was studied and then the key area of atmospheric apparent heat source of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was got which in its later stage influenced the spring precipitation over the typical region of spring drought in Southwest China. Through the comprehensive analysis of the corre- lation between the snow depth and the atmospheric apparent heat source in all levels over the 'strong sig- nal' Key area of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, it is found that February is the precursor 'strong signal' typical month of the snow cold source in the Key area of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. Through the anomaly index and the correlation vector analysis, the correlation of the annual change of anomaly index between the apparent heat source (Q1) in 'strong signal' typical month (February) in the Key area of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and spring precipitation in the lat- er period over the area of spring drought in Southwest China were focused on. Then, the relation between the two anomaly index above have a character of 'anti-phase' in annual change is found. The analyzed re- sult showed that when the snow depth on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was shallow, the apparent heat source (Q1) in the Key area of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was high. And this was beneficial for relative dry northerly flow over Southwest China in spring. This also lead to a abnormal less precipita- tion in spring in Southwest China. The atmospheric apparent heat source in all levels over the Key area of snow cover on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau h

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期刊信息
  • 《高原气象》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所
  • 主编:文军
  • 地址:甘肃省兰州市天水中路8号
  • 邮编:730000
  • 邮箱:gybjb@lzb.ac.cn gyqx@lzb.ac.cn
  • 电话:0931-82600935
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1000-0534
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:62-1061/P
  • 邮发代号:54-43
  • 获奖情况:
  • 中国自然科学核心期刊,1995年获甘肃省编校质量达标优秀期刊,中国期刊方阵“双效”期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国剑桥科学文摘,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:19859