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An analysis of China's CO2 emission peaking target and pathways
  • ISSN号:0253-9705
  • 期刊名称:《环境保护》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:TK01[动力工程及工程热物理] X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学]
  • 作者机构:[1]Research Center for Contemporary Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • 相关基金:This work was supported by Major Program of Humanities and Social Science Base, Ministry of Education (No. 10JJD630011).
作者: HE Jian-Kun[1]
中文摘要:

China has set the goal for its CO2emissions to peak around 2030,which is not only a strategic decision coordinating domestic sustainable development and global climate change mitigation but also an overarching target and a key point of action for China’s resource conservation,environmental protection,shift in economic development patterns,and CO2emission reduction to avoid climate change.The development stage where China maps out the CO2emission peak target is earlier than that of the developed countries.It is a necessity that the non-fossil energy supplies be able to meet all the increased energy demand for achieving CO2emission peaking.Given that China’s potential GDP annual increasing rate will be more than 4%,and China’s total energy demand will continue to increase by approximately 1.0%e1.5%annually around2030,new and renewable energies will need to increase by 6%e8%annually to meet the desired CO2emission peak.The share of new and renewable energies in China’s total primary energy supply will be approximately 20%by 2030.At that time,the energy consumption elasticity will decrease to around 0.3,and the annual decrease in the rate of CO2intensity will also be higher than 4%to ensure the sustained growth of GDP.To achieve the CO2emission peaking target and substantially promote the low-carbon development transformation,China needs to actively promote an energy production and consumption revolution,the innovation of advanced energy technologies,the reform of the energy regulatory system and pricing mechanism,and especially the construction of a national carbon emission cap and trade system.

英文摘要:

China has set the goal for its CO2 emissions to peak around 2030, which is not only a strategic decision coordinating domestic sustainable development and global climate change mitigation but also an overarching target and a key point of action for China's resource conservation, environmental protection, shift in economic development patterns, and CO2 emission reduction to avoid climate change. The development stage where China maps out the CO2 emission peak target is earlier than that of the developed countries. It is a necessity that the non-fossil energy supplies be able to meet all the increased energy demand for achieving CO2 emission peaking. Given that China's potential GDP annual increasing rate will be more than 4%, and China's total energy demand will continue to increase by approximately 1.0%--1.5% annually around 2030, new and renewable energies will need to increase by 6%-8% annually to meet the desired CO2 emission peak. The share of new and renewable energies in China's total primary energy supply will be approximately 20% by 2030. At that time, the energy consumption elasticity will decrease to around 0.3, and the annual decrease in the rate of CO2 intensity will also be higher than 4% to ensure the sustained growth of GDE To achieve the CO2 emission peaking target and substantially promote the low-carbon deve!opment transformation, China needs to actively promote an energy production and consumption revolution, the innovation of advanced energy technologies, the reform of the energy regulatory system and pricing mechanism, and especially the construction of a national carbon emission cap and trade system.

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期刊信息
  • 《环境保护》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国环境保护部
  • 主办单位:中国环境出版社
  • 主编:郭媛媛
  • 地址:北京市崇文区广渠门内大街16号环境大厦
  • 邮编:100062
  • 邮箱:enprmag@126.com
  • 电话:010-67113764
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:0253-9705
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1700/X
  • 邮发代号:2-605
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:25901