中文摘要：

系统可靠性预计是进行可靠性设计的基础，其主要价值在于为设计决策提供依据。本文阐明了系统可靠性预计的概念，分析了系统可靠性预计的基本过程，综述了系统可靠性的预计方法，介绍和评论了各自的优缺点和适用范围，并对预计方法的发展前景做了初步展望。

英文摘要：

System reliability prediction is the base of reliability design, which is mainly used to provide the gist for design decision-making. This paper clarifies the concept of system reliability prediction, analyzes the basic process of prediction, summarizes the prediction method of reliability, introduces and comments on advantages, disadvantages and applied ranges of these methods. Based on above, we have an expectation of development foreground of the prediction method.