利用1951—2005年登陆我国热带气旋信息化资料、ENSO事件以及海温指数资料,讨论ENSO事件与登陆我国热带气旋的关系。结果表明,7—9月热带海洋持续维持ENSO事件状态,对当年登陆热带气旋有明显影响,暖(冷)事件年,登陆热带气旋频数易偏少(多)、初旋日期偏晚(早)、终旋日期偏早(晚),活动期偏短(长),平均登陆强度偏强(弱),登陆TY频数偏少(多),即ENSO事件对登陆热带气旋有明显的预报信号。当年有ENSO事件的结束或开始,但7—9月热带海洋维持正常偏暖(偏冷)状态,对当年的登陆热带气旋也有一定的影响。暖事件对登陆热带气旋的影响比冷事件更明显。
The data of landfalling tropical cyclones(TCs) in China and ENSO events and the NinoZ index during 1951--2005 were used to study the relationships between ENSO and landfalling TCs in China. ENSO events from July to September had obvious effects on landfalling TCs in China. When El Nino existed place throughout the months, the frequency of landfalling TCs was less than normal, the season of landfalling TCs was shorter, the annually first landfall was later, the annually last landfall was earlier, the mean intensity was stronger and more landfalling TCs achieved the intensity of typhoon. Otherwise is true for La Nina. That is to say, ENSO events going from July to September show great prediction signals for landfalling TCs in China. When ENSO ended or started in a year while the NinoZ index remained neutral in July--September, landfalling TCs in China also showed some impacts of ENSO. El Nino has greater effects on landfalling TCs in China than La Nina.