连片特困区的贫困是特殊的区域性贫困,减贫与发展的关键在于形成区域自我发展能力。了解连片特困区自我发展能力的现状、制约因素和时空演变规律就显得十分重要。本研究基于中观的视角,将区域自我发展能力理解为产业能力、市场能力、空间能力和软实力四个维度耦合的复杂系统,通过构建多指标综合测算方法,测算了连片特困区的典型代表武陵山片区2005、2008和2011年各县市的自我发展能力,并对其时空演变特征与趋势进行了分析。结果表明:①武陵山片区自我发展能力整体偏低且发展不平衡;②空间能力和软实力是制约武陵山片区自我发展能力提升的两块短板;③2005-2011年间,武陵山片区自我发展能力各维度间的一致性逐渐增强,自我发展能力内部结构更为合理;④武陵山片区自我发展能力空间上呈“东南部相对下降,北部整体上升”的趋势,并且产业能力、市场能力、空间能力和软实力均有自身明显的演变趋势。
The poverty of contiguous destitute areas is a special regional poverty. For the sake of alleviating this kind of poverty and promoting development persistently, to construct Regional Self-development Capacity (RSC) for these areas is very important and meaningful. But the urgent task is to investigate the status, constraints and spatio-temporal evolution of RSC in these contiguous destitute areas. This paper, taking the areas as a research object, firstly, views the RSC from medium level and considers it to be a complicated system which couples with industry capacity (IC), market capacity (MC), space capacity (SC) and soft power (SP). Then, taking Wuling Mountain Area as a typical example, the authors estimate RSC of all the counties in 2005, 2008 and 2011, and analyze their spatio-temporal evolution by using a multi-index comprehensive calculation method. The results showed that, (1) The RSC in the Wuling Mountain Area is generally low and uneven among the 7 subgroups. (2) The SC and SP are so weak that they constrain the promotion of RSC in the Wuling Mountain Area. (3) During 2005 to 2011, the spatial evolution characteristics can be concluded as "Declining in southeast and rising in north', and all of IC, MC, SC and SP have their own evolution trend.