中文摘要：

人口因素是社会经济发展的重要因素,人口的增长趋势将影响到未来社会经济的可持续发展。文中根据乌鲁木齐市统计年鉴相关数据构建数学模型,对乌鲁木齐市未来人口总量、年龄结构、适度人口进行了预测,分析乌鲁木齐市未来人口发展特征及社会影响并结合上述问题提出针对性的政策建议。

英文摘要：

population is a major factor in socio-economic development.Population growth trend of urumqi would affect the sustainable development of city economics.On the basis of data acquired from the statistics material of urumqi,we made a mathematics model,predict the total population trend,industrial composition and population structure of urumqi,then analyzed its features and social impact,and issued proposal for some problems.