中文摘要：

在分析滑坡时间预测预报及险情预警级别划分的基础上，以三峡库区白水河滑坡险情预警为例，讨论了把滑坡宏现前兆信息与关键部位监测点的变形速率及其相关影响因素有机结合和集成的滑坡险情预警综合预报方法。

英文摘要：

Based on disscusion about prediction and forecasting of landslide happenning time and division of warning classes of landslide, a synthetical warnning method of landslide dangerous state is put forward, which combinates macro prognostication information of land- slides, deformation rate of speed of monitoring points in key parts of landslides and other relevent factors. The new warning method of landslide dangerous state is applied to determinate dangerous state of Baishuihe Landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir Area, and the result indicates that the deformation of the landslide is obviously relevent to going down of Yangtze River water lever and rainfall