中文摘要：

从原煤生产、煤炭进出口、社会库存、主要耗煤行业变化等方面预测了我国2012年煤炭供需变化,研究认为：煤炭供给受前期产能建设的影响,2012年将达到37.93～38.48亿t,国内原煤生产依然占据煤炭供给的主体地位,煤炭进口与社会库存仅能起到供需平衡稳定器的作用;2012年煤炭需求预计35.2亿t,其中电力行业耗煤总量19.29亿t,约占全国煤耗总量的54.8%;总体来看,2012年煤炭供过于求,供需平衡的差额将达到2.73～3.28亿t,为此应合理控制煤炭产能建设;煤炭价格受运输运力、生产成本与国际进口等多方面因素的影响,2012年国内煤炭价格有上涨趋势。

英文摘要：

China＇s coal supply and demand was forecasted by the trends of coal production, coal import and export, social coal stock and the major coal-consuming-industries in 2012, studies suggested that. Coal supply will reach 37.93 - 3. 848 billion tons, which mainly affected by the pre-production. Among them, the domestic coal production still occupy the dominant position of coal supply, and the coal imports and stocks can only act as a social stabilizer role of supply and demand balance; the coal demand is expected to 3.52 billion tons of coal in 2012, of which 1.93 billion tons of the power industry, accounting for about 54.8% of total consumption; Overall, the trend of oversupply is very obvious in 2012, the coal supply and demand balance will reach 2.73 to 3.28 million tons, this should be control the excessive coal production capacity building; The coal prices will rise in 2012, because of the comprehensive constraints of the coal transport capacity, production costs and international import, and many other factors.