鉴于当前仍未建立起系统的隧道超前地质预报理论的实际,基于地质力学理论,在总结以往研究成果的基础上,较深入地构建了隧道超前地质预报的概念和广义、狭义超前地质预报实施的技术方案,提出了宏观预报、长期预报、短期预报和灾害临近警报的整套超前预报技术手段,并通过厦门海底隧道的预报实践验证,证明了提出的相关理论和技术方法的正确性与可行性,其技术方法对隧道施工生产具有一定的指导意义。
In view of the actual situation that there is still not any systematic theory of geological prediction for the tunnel construction, the concept of geological prediction ahead of construction for the tunnel and technical scheme of geological prediction have been constructed on the basis of the previous research results~ and a complete set of geological forecasting techniques including the macro forecast, the long-term prediction, the short-term prediction and the alarm of the disaster approach, have been proposed based on the theory of geomechanics. According to the practical test of the prediction in Xiamen subsea tunnel, the accuracy of the prediction can meet the requirements of the construction standards. It shows the rationality and feasibility of the related theory and the technical method; and the proposed technical method can provide some references to the tunnel constructions.