研究过度自信CEO项目价值预判能力对其投资心理的影响作用以及激励CEO主动承担项目的薪酬契约特点后发现:在预判结果与项目期望价值相同的条件下,当项目价值预判能力足够大时,CEO会认为进行投资能使公司获得收益;随着项目价值预判能力与过度自信水平的不断提高,激励CEO主动承担项目的高水平薪酬的最大值会不断提高,而其相对于中等水平薪酬的增量的最小值会不断降低。
After discussing the effect of overconfident CEO' s anticipation ability of project' s value on the psychology of in- vesting and characteristics of overconfident CEO' s compensation contracts which could incent CEO active for project. This paper finds that: when anticipation ability of project' s value is in the excess of a certain level, CEO will believe doing in- vestment can make the company obtain profit on the condition that the results of anticipation are equal to the expected value of project; as anticipation ability of project' s value and overconfidence' s level enhance, CEO' s high-level compensation contracts' maximum value will keep increasing, which could incent CEO active for project and minimum value of high-level ~0mpensation contracts' increment, which is relative to the middle-level compensation contracts, will continue to reduce.