为应对能源短缺和气候变化,我国大力发展生物质发电产业。但由于缺乏充足的燃料,许多生物质发电企业处于亏损状态。农户对农业秸秆供应的意愿和行为是影响秸秆收集利用的关键。利用因子分析法识别影响农户意愿和行为的主要因素,继而用Logistic模型分别探讨这些因素对意愿和行为的影响。研究结果表明,这些影响因素对农户秸秆供应意愿和行为具有不同的影响力,分析结果为促进意愿到行为的转化提供了依据。为提高农户秸秆供应意愿和行为,本文提出了全新的秸秆收集模式,用Logistic模型分析了该模式对农户意愿的影响机制。
To deal with energy shortage and climate change, biomass power generation industry has been developedin China. However, due to the lack of adequate fuel, many biomass power plants run in the red. Farmers' willingnessand behavior in the supply of agricultural straw is the key to the problem. Factor analysis method is used to identifymajor factors affecting farmers' willingness and behavior; the logistic model is used to investigate the impact of thesefactors. The findings show that these factors impact farmers' willingness and behavior differently, thus providinga basis to help promote farmers' willingness and change it into action~ Based on the analysis of the motivationmechanism influencing the farmers' willingness and action, new approaches have been suggested to help the collectionof agricultural straw~