文章介绍了资源与环境经济问题研究中,基于主体建模方法的应用前景,重点评述了这一交叉学科的"自下而上"仿真方法对分析当今复杂的社会-生态系统中人-自然耦合问题的作用。通过参数与变量的设置,基于主体建模类似于社会科学的"实验室",有助于对资源环境经济学中,微观利益主体的复杂互动在宏观涌现的发生机制进行深入的考察。基于主体建模方法对传统单一学科视角的环境分析方法进行了外延拓展和内涵深化,并取得了突破性进展。文章梳理了基于主体建模方法发展的基本脉络,介绍了基于主体建模在资源环境经济学前沿——人与自然耦合分析中的最新研究进展,并指出了进一步拓展的方向。
This paper introduces the application prospect of the method of agent-based modeling in the resources and environmental economics.It claims the effect of the cross disciplinary and "bottom-up" simulation method for analyzing the complexity of coupled human and nature in the social-ecological systems. Similarily to the "laboratory" of social sciences, through setting the parameters and variables, ABM contributes to the in-depth study of the complex interaction of the micro stakeholders under the mechanism of macro emergence in the resources and environmental economics. ABM has made a breakthrough on extensive expanding and connotation deepening for the traditional method of environmental analysis which only focuses on a single subject. The paper reviews the basic context of ABM method and introduces the frontier research of ABM in the studies of coupling human and nature as the forefront of the resources and environmental economics. This paper also pointed out the further development of the method of ABM.