中文摘要：

研究了空中目标攻击意图判断问题。基于知识推理方法可以利用专家知识,但高精度下计算速度慢,难以满足实时性要求;多属性决策方法计算速度快,但无法利用专家知识。结合两者优点提出了基于直觉模糊产生式规则推理（IPR）和多属性决策的空中目标攻击意图判断模型,直觉模糊产生式规则推理利用专家知识对目标相对独立特征进行高精度推理,获得相对独立特征的攻击意图可能性;多属性决策综合各相对独立特征攻击意图可能性获得目标攻击意图。最后应用一个实例对该模型进行了验证,结果合理且计算速度快,满足实时性要求。

英文摘要：

The model for aerial target attacking intention judgment is studied.The advantages and shortcomings of the existing knowledge based reasoning method and the Multi-Attribute Decision Making（MADM） method are analyzed.The knowledge based reasoning method can use the experts＇ knowledge,but the computation speed is too slow to satisfy the real-time demand when high precision is required.While the computation speed of MADM is fast but it cannot use the experts＇ knowledge.Thus a model for judging aerial target attacking intention is constructed based on Intuitionistic Production Rules（IPR） reasoning and MADM.IPR reasoning can make high-accuracy reasoning to relatively independent features of the target by using experts＇ knowledge,and obtain the possible attacking intention of independent features.MADM can combine each independent attacking intention together and obtain the target attacking intention.The proposed model is illustrated with an example.The result is reasonable and the calculation speed is fast enough to satisfy the real time demand.