以中国独立设计机构的授权专利为研究对象,通过中国专利数据检索,对中国设计机构专利授权数量时间序列进行统计和预测,结合工业增加值数据,运用相关分析、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验等计量方法,初步验证Porter钻石模型的服务需求理论和Grossman的设计驱动的内生增长理论在中国的适用性。研究结果表明,1985年至2009年中国独立设计机构专利迅速增长,Porter钻石模型的服务需求理论在中国得到部分支持,但Grossman的设计驱动的内生增长理论在中国没有得到证实,设计产业还不是驱动工业增长的力量。
This study takes the patents of independent design house(IDH) in China as the research object and illustrates the time series of China's design house number. We employ correlation analysis, co-integration test, Granger causality test and other measurement methods to initially verify the service demand theory of diamond model by Michael E. Porter and Grossman-Help- man's endogenous growth theory driven by design, combining the industrial added value data. The results indicate that with the rapid increase of the number of Chinese IDH during 1985 - 2009, service demand theory of diamond model by Michael E. Porter is partially supported, while Grossman-Helpman's endogenous growth theory driven by design is not supported in China, which shows that design services has not been the industrial growth driver yet.