一些学者认为当前我国生猪供给不足是生猪市场本身的周期性谷底和2006年的猪疫病、饲料成本上升等原因的叠加。对陕西省周至县农户调查资料的分析表明,养猪散户选择是否养猪也有出于消费保险动机的因素。当前,山区农户家庭成员外出务工能够取得稳定的非农收入也是散养户减栏、空栏的另一个原因。
Many scholars believe the present price-raising comes from the short of supply of pig,but they think it is normal response of pig-feeding households to spider web effects due to supply-demand law.Through the investigation to rural households in Zhouzhi county ShanXi province,the paper found the motivation of small pig-feeding households were to insure their consumption smoothing,and the pretty stable income from out-migration is another reason for the reduction.