采用基于时间序列的对数平均分解指数(LMDI)法分析了南京市工业35个行业在2000-2010年的碳排放变化.研究表明,影响工业碳排放的驱动因素有工业经济发展、工业部门内部结构、能源强度、能源消费结构和碳排放系数.鉴于此,建议南京市控制能源密集型行业的经济增长速度,提高能源利用效率,推动能源强度接近国家先进水平,开发新能源,促进能源消费结构多元化,共同建设资源节约型社会,从而减少工业碳排放.
Logarithmic mean decomposition index (LMDI) method was used to analyze carbon emissions change of Nanjing 35 industries during 2000 to 2010. Research shows that the major driving factors influencing industrial car- bon emissions are industrial economic development, industrial department internal structure, energy intensity,energy structure and carbon emission intensity. Therefore, some countermeasures such as controlling the economic growth rate of energy intensive industry, improving energy efficiency, promoting the energy intensity to the national advanced level,developing new energy, promoting the diversification of energy structure for building a resource-conserving soci- ety were proposed to reduce the industry carbon emission.