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南京市呼吸系统和循环系统疾病死亡人数与气象因子的关系分析
  • ISSN号:0455-2059
  • 期刊名称:兰州大学学报(自然科学版)
  • 时间:2014.2.3
  • 页码:59-65
  • 分类:P49[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]兰州大学大气科学学院甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,兰州730000, [2]江苏省疾病预防控制中心,南京210009, [3]江苏省气候中心,南京210009
  • 相关基金:国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106034);国家自然科学基金项目(41105109,41075103);中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(自由探索)项目(LZUJBKY-2012-123)
  • 相关项目:输送过程中沙尘毒性变化及其对人体呼吸系统急性健康效应的数值模拟研究
中文摘要:

利用南京市2004-2009年居民死亡资料和同期气象资料,分析了2004-2009年南京市呼吸系统和循环系统疾病死亡人数的年内变化规律,在计算3种人体舒适度基础上研究了上述两大系统疾病死亡人数与气象因子(包括气象要素及人体舒适度在内)之间的关系。结果表明:南京市年内气温呈“Λ”型分布,人体舒适度呈“M”型分布,呼吸系统和循环系统疾病死亡人数的年内分布正好与气温分布呈反位相,即两大系统疾病死亡人数整体上均呈现出冬半年多,夏半年少的分布特点,说明寒冷是诱发两大系统疾病患者死亡的主要气象因素。值得注意的是,两大系统疾病死亡人数在8-9月份又呈现出一个死亡小高峰,这主要是由于高温和季节交替所造成的。呼吸系统和循环系统疾病逐日死亡人数与气象因子显著相关,并对气象因子的响应具有一定的持续效应和滞后性。

英文摘要:

Using the death data and corresponding period meteorological data during 2004-2009 in Nanjing City, the annual variation law of deaths from the respiratory and circulatory system diseases was analyzed, and the relationships between deaths from the two disease systems and meteorological factors (including meteoro-logical factors and human comfortable indexes) were studied, based on three human comfortable indexes. The results show that temperature distribution looked like a ’Λ’ and human comfortable indexes distribution looked like an ’M’ in a typical year, while the distribution of deaths from the two disease systems were in an anti-phase relation with temperature, i.e. it demonstrated that deaths during the winter half year were more than the summer half year. It could be considered that coldness was the main factor causing deaths from the two system diseases. It was worth noting that there was a small peak of deaths from August to September, which was mainly thanks to the high temperature and seasonal alternation. The study also found that a significant correlation existed between deaths from daily diseases of the two systems and meteorological factors; besides, deaths from the two system daily disease had persistent effects and hysteretic quality responding to meteorological factors.

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期刊信息
  • 《兰州大学学报:自然科学版》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:教育部
  • 主办单位:兰州大学
  • 主编:涂永强
  • 地址:兰州市天水南路222号
  • 邮编:730000
  • 邮箱:jns@lzu.edu.cn
  • 电话:0931-8912707
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:0455-2059
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:62-1075/N
  • 邮发代号:54-3
  • 获奖情况:
  • 全国自然科学类核心期刊,甘肃省优秀科技期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),美国数学评论(网络版),德国数学文摘,荷兰文摘与引文数据库,英国动物学记录,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),英国英国皇家化学学会文摘,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:12892