中文摘要：

利用2008年1月1日-2012年12月31日北京市三家医院急诊就诊的创伤患者数据,采用描述性流行病学方法和SPSS 19.0软件对创伤急诊人数与气象要素的关系进行了研究.结果表明：北京地区6,7月份为创伤发病高峰期,2月份最低;18-55岁创伤人数最多;1-30岁男性明显多于女性,30岁以上男女比例相当;创伤发病人数与气温、相对湿度呈显著正相关,与风速、气压呈显著负相关;多元回归建模对创伤发病人数预测效果较好,预测准确度为90.40%,按比例划分等级的预报准确率达78.60%.高温为创伤发生的主要诱因.

英文摘要：

Based on the emergency trauma patient data from 2008-1-1 to 2012-12-31 from three comprehensive hospitals of Beijing and using the descriptive epidemiological method and SPSS 19.0 software, the relationship between trauma emergency number and meteorological conditions was studied and the results showed that the high peaks of trauma patients number occurred in June and July and the slack period occurred in February. With regards to age, most trauma patients were 18 to 55 years old. In terms of gender, men aged from 1-30 were more obviously a？icted than women and above 30 years old, there were no gender difference. The number of trauma patients had a significantly positive correlation with temperature and relative humidity, and a significantly negative correlation with wind speed and pressure. Using the multiple regression modeling to forecast trauma was reliable, with the forecast accuracy being up to 90.40% and level forecast accuracy （divided in proportion） up to 78.60%. High temperature was the main cause of trauma.