中文摘要：

在综述国内外相关研究的基础上，认为目前城市产业集聚动力机制与模式的研究方法尚比较薄弱，尤其是通过构建模型进行定量研究鲜有涉及。首先对城市产业集聚动力机制与模式的概念与逻辑关系进行解析；其次，应用系统论的观点，对城市产业集聚系统进行解构，将城市产业集聚系统解构为内核系统与调控系统；最后，综合矢量平行四边形法则、层次分析法和模糊隶属度函数模型，构建PAF模型。PAF模型耦合了动力机制与模式的关系，能够在定量求解的基础上，分析城市产业集聚的动力机制与所应采取的合理发展模式，并可以通过对动力的调控来实现城市产业经济的持续健康发展。

英文摘要：

Based on the studies at home and abroad, this paper considers that the study methods of dynamics mechanism and patterns are still relatively weak. Especially, the quantitative studies by constructing models are rare. Firstly, the paper analyzes the concept of the dynamics mechanism and patterns in detail. Secondly, from the perspective of system theory, the paper divides urban industrial agglomeration system into inner system and regulative system. Finally, PAF model is constructed by coupling of the Parallelogram Law （P）, Analytic Hierarchy Process （AHP） （A） and Fuzzy Membership Function Model （F）. PAF model which couples the relation between dynamics mechanism and patterns could be used to analyze the following issues quantitatively. What is really the urban in- dustrial agglomeration dynamics mechanism？ Which is the rational development model that should be taken？ And how do we regulate the dynamics mechanism to achieve the healthy development of urban economy？