城镇化与就业之间并非简单的相关关系或者线性关系,而是随着服务业的发展表现出阶段性变化。我国31个省市的面板门槛回归模型结果显示:我国城镇化与就业的关系存在显著的"三门槛效应";我国整体服务业发展水平不高,大部分省市仍未跨过第二门槛;我国服务业发展水平和城镇化水平均存在较大的区域差异,需要采取差异化战略促进就业。
The relationship between the urbanization and employment is not simple,but changes with the development of service industry. Result of provincial panel data threshold model shows that,firstly,there is a significant "three threshold effect'between urbanization and employment; secondly,Chinese service industry development is not so high,most of provinces still can't cross the second threshold; in the end,the level of service industry development and the level of urbanization in China are largely regional differences,so it needs to adopt the differential strategy to promote employment.