在现代专利环境中,专利申请动机越发趋于战略性,这为专利的价值评估及核心专利判定带来更多挑战。为了解决此类专利的价值评估难题,基于专利权人的战略意图构建专利战略指标体系。进而,以中国电信产业2001-2008年向美国专利局申请的历史专利数据为样本,利用线性回归分析实证验证了专利战略指标对专利价值的影响效应及解释能力,客观地赋予了每个指标权重。最后,通过该指标体系的加权求和,预测中国电信产业2009-2012年的美国专利价值并识别出各年的核心专利,继而探索产业关键技术布局。实证结果表明,中国电信产业的核心专利布局存在两大方面的隐患,即前沿技术领域涉入不深和本土申请人统治力不足。研究从专利申请战略动机的角度夯实了专利价值评估指标的理论基础,对于专利估值的管理实践具有重要的借鉴意义。
In the modern patenting environment where related patents have been strategically accumulating, it becomes increasingly challenging for assessing the value of patens and identifying core patents from a massive body of patent applications. In order to solve these problems, this paper proposes a set of patent indicators for measuring the value of patents based on the strategic purpose of patent assignee. Furthermore, using the patent data registered by the telecommunication industry of China at the US Patent and Trademark Of- rice (USPTO) between 2001 and 2008, the study empirically examines the effect and explanatory ability of patent indicator system on patent value by linear regression analysis, and then calculates the weight of each indicator objectively. Finally, through the weighted sum of these patent indicators, predict the value of US patents related to telecommunications in China during 2009 to 2012 to identify the core patents for each year. By doing so, the whole landscape of key technologies in the telecom industry of China can be clearly ex- plored. The results show that there are two flaws hidden in the portfolio of core patents at the industry level, that is, keeping far away from technology frontier and lacking of leadership from local patent assignees. This paper enriches the theoretical basis of patent value indicators, and meaningful managerial implications for patent valuation can be drawn based on this study.