环境规制主要通过需求、技术创新和国际贸易传导机制等三种途径影响产业升级,本文对上述产业升级路径的传导机制影响机理进行了理论分析,并采用1998--2010年我国30个省的动态面板数据实证研究了环境规制强度对产业升级路径的影响。动态面板估计结果表明,我国总体环境规制强度对产业升级的方向和路径产生了积极的促进作用;而分区域的研究结果则表明,中西部地区环境规制强度与产业升级的关系并不显著,东部地区环境规制强度的提高能够显著促进产业升级的加快。我国在环境规制强度的选择上应考虑区域间的差异性,并适度放缓经济增长速度,加强人力资本建设和推进市场化改革,从而为环境规制与产业升级的协同双赢提供必要的政策思路和配套措施。
Environmental regulation affected industry upgrading mainly by demand, technological in- novation and international trade mechanism. This paper analyzed the mechanism effects on industrial up grading path direction, and then applied 30 provincial dynamic panel data from 1998 to 2010 to study the effects of environmental regulation intensity on industry upgrading. Dynamic panel estimation results showed that China's overall environmental regulation intensity had positive effects on industrial upgrading path direction. Regional research results indicated that the central and western region's environmental reg- ulation intensity was not significant with industrial upgrading, while the eastern region's environmental regulation intensity had accelerated industrial upgrading. China's environmental regulation intensity selec- tion should consider the regional differences, and reasonably slowed down the speed of economic growth, to strengthen manpower capital construction and advance marketing reform, and provided the necessary policies and supporting measures to make sure that environmental regulation and industrial upgrading would have the collaborative win-win.