针对中国能源强度下降的原因,专家学者进行了广泛深入的研究,但忽视了进出口贸易对能源强度的影响作用,本文试图弥补此方面的研究空白。分析了进出口贸易对能源强度的影响途径,认为进出口贸易通过影响能源消费量和GDP,以间接的方式对能源强度产生影响;利用内涵能源的概念,分析了进出口贸易对能源消费的影响机理。建立了进出口贸易影响能源强度的计算模型,并进行了实证研究,结果表明:1981~1993年间,进出口贸易与能源强度之间没有关联性;1994~2006年间,贸易顺差具有降低能源强度的作用,但作用很小。
Scholars studied on the decline of China′s energy intensity extensively and deep,but one influence factor,namely,import and export trade,was neglected,some works were done to analyze the relation between trade and energy intensity in this paper.The influence approach of import and export trade on energy intensity was analyzed,and it was thought that import and export affected energy intensity by influencing energy consumption and GDP.The concept of embedded energy was used to analyze the influence mechanism of import and export on energy consumption.One calculation model was constructed to study the impact of import and export trade on energy intensity.The results show that in the period 1981~1993 there is no relation between trade and energy intensity,and in the period 1994~2006 trade surplus decreases the energy intensity but the effect is very small.