基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)理论,以APEC中的17个国家(或地区)为研究对象,采用面板数据模型的相关分析方法,探讨了APEC成员碳排放与经济增长之间的关系。以定量分析为基础,在对数据进行单位根和协整检验以及建立并求解模型的基础上得到了实证结果,并进一步结合各国家或地区的实际情况对回归系数进行了比较分析,检验了APEC成员碳排放中环境库兹涅茨假说的存在性。研究表明,在APEC成员中,随着经济的不断增长,并不能保证其碳排放的必然下降,因而从能源消费的角度来看,进一步推广清洁发展机制,并加大财政补贴力度、支持科研和技术应用推广,从而控制能耗总量和调整能源结构,对我国具有重要意义。
Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory, in this study, we tested the rela- tionship of carbon emission and economic growth using the data of 17 countries belonging to APEC. The empirical results from panel data model show that carbon emissions of the countries do not meet the Environmen- tal Kuznets Hypothesis. Furthermore, the differences between APEC members are compared by taking the real situation into consideration. It suggests that the carbon emission will not decrease automatically with the increase of per capita income, therefore, it is necessary for the government to control the total energy con- sumption and adjust the energy structure. To achieve that, promoting clean development mechanism and improving the input of R&D could be helpful.