中文摘要：

当前,中国经济已进入＂新常态＂,＂十三五＂规划正在稳步推进,＂供给侧改革＂也进入了深化和攻坚阶段,对国民经济的一些重要行业和能源领域产生了重大影响。基于＂供给侧改革＂的总体背景,展望中国能源经济形势,并遵循绿色健康可持续发展的理念,运用情景分析法预测2020年前中国煤炭消费量、能源消费总量和能源消费结构。结果显示：在基准情境下,预计煤炭消费量将逐年下降,能源消费总量增长将逐渐放缓,能源消费结构也将伴随着供给侧改革的深化持续优化。

英文摘要：

Currently,China＇s economy has entered the ＂new normal＂phase,and the ＂13th Five-Year plan＂is advancing steadily. At the meanwhile,the ＂supply-side reform＂has also headed into a critical stage,which may have significant impacts on some important industries and energy sector. Under the background of the supply-side reform,this paper analyzes the situation of China ＇s energy economy. Based on the concept of sustainable,coordinated and green development,China： s coal consumption,energy consumption and energy consumption structure by 2020 are forecasted using scenario analysis. The results indicate that,under the benchmark scenario,the coal consumption would be decreasing over time,and the growth rates of total energy consumption would gradually slow down,and the energy consumption structure would also be optimized along with the deepening of the supply-side reform.