对劳动力成本与产业结构的关系研究多从成本视角进行分析,从收入—消费视角研究两者的量化关系缺乏。基于中介效应模型文章构建了分析劳动力成本、消费成长和产业结构升级之间关系的理论框架,并运用中国的经验数据进行实证检验。研究发现:劳动力成本对居民消费需求扩张和消费结构升级具有显著的正向影响;消费规模扩张和消费结构升级对产业结构升级具有正向促进作用;劳动力成本上升通过推动消费规模扩张和消费结构升级进而推动着产业结构优化升级。其政策含义是,经济新常态下应顺应劳动力成本上升的形势,积极推动经济发展方式转变,引导和促进产业结构优化升级。
Most empirical Studies have analyzed the relationship between labor cost and industrial structure from the perspective of cost.There is alack of research in this area from the perspective of income-consumption.Based on mediating effect model,this article make an empirical analysison the chain mechanism of labor cost-consumption growth-industrial structure upgrading.The results show that:the labor cost has a significantpositive effect on consumption demand expansion and consumption structure upgrading;consumption scale expansion and consumption structureupgrading have significant positive effects on industrial structure upgrading;labor cost rising would promote industrial structure optimization andupgrading through advancing consumption scale expansion and consumption structure upgrading.The policy implication is that we should complywith the rising labor costs,actively promoting the transformation of development mode and guiding,as well as boosting the optimization andupgrading of the industrial structure.